A lot of you also asked me about Gold after the crypto portfolio post:
“Would you still hold Gold for the next year?”
My short answer:
Yes, absolutely. But not at any price, and definitely not with all of my capital :))
If I was building a full investment portfolio today for around one year, I’d definitely want Gold to be part of it.
Why?
Because the fundamental story behind Gold is still very strong.
Gold is trading back above the $4,600 area, and the move is not only technical.
We still have central banks buying Gold aggressively, geopolitical risks are still there, US debt keeps growing, and if the Fed starts cutting rates more aggressively, that could support Gold even more.
Also, if inflation stays sticky, Gold can still attract demand as a hedge.
So basically, several different macro scenarios can still work in Gold’s favor.
That doesn’t mean Gold can’t correct though.
Prices are already high, and if the US dollar gets much stronger, yields move higher, or the Fed becomes more hawkish again, we can easily see a deeper correction.
That’s why I personally wouldn’t buy my whole Gold position at once after a strong rally.
I’d rather build it slowly on pullbacks.
The areas I’d personally keep an eye on are:
$4,500
$4,400
$4,200
And on a deeper correction:
around $4,000
On the upside, my main areas are:
$4,700
then $5,000
and after that the ATH zone around $5,400
Now the bigger question:
How much of the total portfolio would I put into Gold?
If I had 100 units of capital to invest today, my personal allocation would look something like this:
30% Crypto
And inside that 30%, I’d use the same portfolio from my previous post:
50% BTC
30% ETH
20% SOL
So from the total portfolio that becomes roughly:
15% BTC
9% ETH
6% SOL
Then I’d allocate around:
20% to Gold
And I’d keep the remaining 50% for cash, stocks, other opportunities, and money ready to deploy during bigger corrections.
Why only 20% Gold?
Because I’m not buying Gold expecting it to outperform SOL :))
Gold has a completely different job in my portfolio.
Crypto is the growth side.
Gold is the protection side.
I want Gold there for stability, diversification and protection if risk assets get hit.
For the next 12 months, my main target zone for Gold is:
$5,200 to $5,500
My central target is around:
$5,350
In a much stronger bullish scenario, where the dollar weakens, real yields fall, central banks continue buying and geopolitical risks stay high, I wouldn’t completely rule out:
$6,000 to $6,500
But that’s my Bull Case, not my main expectation.
And of course there’s a Bear Case too.
If the dollar gets very strong again and yields push higher, Gold could revisit:
$3,900 to $4,200
So my personal one-year structure is pretty simple:
30% Crypto for Growth
20% Gold for Protection
50% Cash / Stocks / Other Opportunities
And yes, I’d personally still hold Gold for the next year.
I just wouldn’t FOMO into it after a big rally.
I’d rather accumulate it slowly at better prices.
As always, what you buy matters, but where you buy it matters even more.
Just my personal view, not financial advice.
