Trump's massive loss of face at home on his signature policy of Tariffs, Epstein Files expose & his falling popularity ratings! He might go for war/limited strikes on Iran to deflect the public of his policy failures!
Most of his tariffs are shot down, US will have to refund 170 billion $ to exporters across the world making a huge fiscal gap to cover. Upsets his plan to issue pay cheques to Americans to win the midterms as Tariff revenue is gone.
Its a fucking disaster for President Trump unable to get Ukraine peace in, not able to topple regime in Tehran without a massive escalation. Now even his signature trade policy is gone!
However the World will no more trust
America as reliable partner and American exceptionalism will be discounted out even more as World Powers will look to hedge themselves by diversifying trade.
The Global Order is pivoting towards multi-polarity with multiple regional trading blocs and deals outside the US & Dollar system from EU to India to China to Russia to Mercosur to GCC! Everyone will hedge even more now!
India played well held out long, signed a joint statement, got Russian Oil tariffs off with some energy diversification to USA & Venezuela. Struck trade deals with EU, UK & New Zealand apart of USA opening new markets for Indian exporters and manufacturing without giving up on red lines in Agriculture & Dairy.
India integrated itself in Pax Silica Silicon supply chain of US & its allies. Got massive defence deals with France in Raffles, few with Russia (S-400) & P8 Orion, F-414 for Tejas MK2 with USA also lined up ! Playing deftly to secure India’s interests amid fragmenting global order.
