This week has seen low volatility and a risk-on backdrop, while Nvidia’s strong gains have supported technology stocks. As long as long-term Treasury yields do not surge, the environment could remain favorable for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
The main threat to this scenario is a hawkish message from Warsh or a renewed rise in bond yields, as higher long-term rates could pressure equity valuationsk, especially in the technology sector.
Outlook: Bullish Low volatility and risk-on sentiment continue to support equities, but bond yields remain the key near-term risk.