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The Real Rayner Teo: post #5433 — TG.ME

The Real Rayner Teo@tradingwithrayner · 76.4K subscribers Open in TelegramOpen

t.me/tradingwithrayner/5433

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May 28, 2026 30.5K 28

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Chris Camillo had no finance degree. No Bloomberg terminal. No Wall Street connections. Just an ordinary guy with $20k. And somehow this nobody turned that $20k into 8 figures, while outrunning the pros who do this for a living. How did it happen? When he began, Chris tried to beat Wall Street at their own game. Same charts everyone stares at. Same indicators everyone uses. Same earnings reports that 10,000 analysts have already read before their morning coffee. And guess what? He got flattened. So Chris quit their game and played his own. Instead of studying balance sheets, he studied people. He watched what regular folks were buying, wearing, downloading, and talking about in everyday life. • A toy blowing up among kids. • A brand suddenly all over social media. • A product his own family got obsessed with months before any analyst noticed. He treated social media like the world's biggest focus group, and he read those real-world shifts long before they ever showed up in an earnings report. That was his edge. He'd spot the change early, buy while Wall Street was still asleep on it, then sell once the crowd finally caught up. So here’s the deal… If you're using the same tools, reading the same charts, and following the same gurus as every other trader out there... you don't have an edge. You're just queuing politely at the same losing table. It's like trying to beat a casino by yanking the slot machine harder. So stop grinding at the wrong game and go find the table where the odds are in your favour. Chris found his table. He sat down. He won. So the question is: What's YOUR table? For me, my edge is having multiple trading systems so I can profit in a bull market, a bear market, and even during a recession. Not because I'm some trading genius. But because I found the game that suits me. If you'd like to find yours, you can grab a copy of Trading Systems That Work. It won't turn $20k into 8 figures overnight. But it might point you toward the right table. Details here: https://tradingsystemsbook.com/ 8.2K·Aug 19 He turned $40,000 into over $20 million. Won the 1984 U.S. Investing Championship. And across the many trading contests he entered, he averaged 210% returns. Not bad for a guy who lost money for 10 years straight. This is the story of Marty Schwartz… Now, Marty wasn't your average guy. He had an MBA from Columbia and was a securities analyst at E.F. Hutton, flying around America, researching companies for a living. (In other words, he was the kind of guy who used words like "EBITDA" at dinner parties and wondered why no one laughed.) In his free time, Marty traded part-time. And lost money. Consistently. For 10 whole years. You're probably thinking: “If he's so smart, why is he losing?" Here's why… Marty is an analyst, and he’s paid to be right. You know, study a company, form a view, and defend it. So when the market disagreed with him, he didn't cut. He argued with the market. (It's like arguing with my wife. I can present all the facts, all the evidence, all the logic in the world… And I still lose.) After 10 years, he realised something had to change. So, he quit. He walked away from being an analyst, bought a seat on the exchange, and started over as a technician. No thesis to protect. Just price. So here are 3 trading rules that shaped his trading... 1. Follow the 10-day moving average. If the price is above the 10-day moving average, look for buying opportunities. If the price is below the 10-day moving average, look for shorting opportunities (or stay in cash). The idea is to trade when momentum is behind your back, and not against it. 2. Cut your losses fast. Even the best traders will encounter losses. The key is to cut your losses so you still have “chips” to continue playing the game. 3. Ignore fundamentals Fundamentals are useful to tell you which stocks are “good”. But it doesn’t tell you when exactly to buy or sell. That’s when technical analysis comes into play. The outcome? Marty Schwartz turned $40,000 into over $20 million and won the 1984 U.S. Investing Championship. He didn't find a better way to be right. He built a way to be wrong cheaply. Same guy. Same brain. Same market. The only thing that changed is that he stopped needing the market to agree with him. 18K·Jul 23 This strategy isn't working... time to find a better one. How many times have you said that? You've got a whole bunch of them by now. · The breakout strategy from that YouTube guy. · The moving average crossover you found on a forum. · The supply-and-demand thing someone swore by. Every time one hits a rough patch, you bin it and go chasing the next shiny object. But here’s the thing… You never knew if any of them worked in the first place. So when a strategy has three losing trades in a row, you don’t know if it’s in a drawdown or deader than my hairline. That’s why before you risk a single cent, you must test the strategy. You look at how it performed across years of data, in bull markets and bear markets. Only then do you know whether a trading strategy works, or not. That's exactly what I'm teaching at my free web class, Stock Trading Secrets. I'll show you how to tell if a strategy actually works before you risk real money, so you don’t waste time going around in circles. Plus, what 22 years of backtested data reveal about what actually works in trading. Sign up here: https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/sts/ 16.4K·Jul 21 Jesse Livermore made $100 million during the 1929 crash. Then he lost everything. Not because his strategy stopped working. Not because the markets changed. But because he made one mistake that destroyed even the best traders. Here’s his story… They called him the Boy Plunger. He started trading at 14, and eventually, the bucket shops banned him because he kept taking their money. In 1907, when the market panicked, he shorted it and made a fortune in a single day. In 1929, as the world fell into depression, he reportedly walked away with around $100 million. Adjusted for inflation, that's more money than I could spend in ten lifetimes, even if I buy a Lambo for every lifetime. And gave one to my wife. And one to each kid. And one for my mother-in-law (God help me). This man could read the tape better than anyone alive. His edge was real. Not luck. At the same time… He filed for bankruptcy in 1915. He rebuilt. He filed again in 1934. He rebuilt again. And eventually, he took his own life. You're probably thinking: ● "His strategy stopped working." ● "The markets changed." ● "He got unlucky." Nope. Nope. And nope. His edge was never the problem. What he lacked was risk management. Livermore bet big. When he was convinced, he loaded up. And when he was right, it was glorious. But being right 6 times out of 10 doesn't save you when the other 4 take everything. In other words, you can have the best trading strategy in the world. But without risk management, you can’t keep any of the profits. So here are a few risk management tips for you… 1. Watch your total exposure. Five trades in five oil stocks is one trade wearing a disguise. If oil collapses, all five go down together, and your "diversified" portfolio cries in unison. 2. Never increase your size because you feel certain This one is dangerous. Because the more certain you feel, the more you bet. And the more you bet, the more it hurts when you're wrong. Feeling certain is exactly what bankrupted Livermore. Twice. 3. Know the probability and the magnitude Before you place a trade, ask yourself two things: How likely am I to lose? And if I lose, how much will I lose? Then decide if the trade is actually worth it. 19.5K·Jul 13

Here’s my trading result for this year… YTD return: 21.33% All-time return: 400.65% In March, the stock market declined 10%, and this triggered an exit for most of my stock positions. It turned out to be a false breakdown as the market rallied 17% of the lows. Because of this rally, my trading system is bullish again, and needed to buy the stocks I sold earlier, albeit at a much higher price. As you can tell, this isn’t the easiest thing to do because I seem like an idiot who sold at the lows and bought back at the highs. But there’s a reason for this madness. I moved to cash in March because I don’t know if the market will collapse further. If it did, I would look like a genius who avoided a blood bath. However, it turned out to be a false breakdown, and I ended up selling low and buying high. Now this isn’t the first time it has happened, and it will happen again. However, it’s the price I’m willing to pay because I know this: If I take care of my downside, the upside will take care of itself. 35.5K·May 15

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