Market Expectations for Upcoming Projects
Polymarket now has live odds on tokens that don't exist yet. Variational leads on both size and timing: 79% to clear $500M, 77% to launch by December 31. Base is the outlier: 57% to clear $500M and 53% to clear $1B, almost no gap between them, but just 13% odds of shipping by December.
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August 27, 2026 908 9
