Fed decision tonight at 8 PM GMT+2The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%–4.00%, with 4% being the upper end of the target range. The press conference follows at 8:30 PM GMT+2.
Could we see a surprise hike?
It’s possible, but it isn’t the main expectation: 94 of 100 economists surveyed by Reuters expect a hold. PIMCO also expects a pause tonight, with another hike more likely in December.
My take: A hold looks more likely, but don’t confuse unchanged rates with a softer Fed. Persistent inflation could keep the message tough, and analysts still see a risk of further tightening. Watch the statement and press conference closely—even without a hike, signals about December could trigger volatility across crypto and broader markets.
