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₿ Justin Tew - Objective Finance 📈: post #1630 — TG.ME

₿ Justin Tew - Objective Finance 📈@moneythrower · 412 subscribers Open in TelegramOpen

t.me/moneythrower/1630

August 30, 2026 101 3

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On the other hand, there was another key news that came out recently. The US Treasury (Scott Bessent) is now stepping in to hold down long term interest rates. He recently announced that they will double how much government debt it's buying back. In layman terms, the US government has quietly started putting a floor under the market. It matters because this shifts control of financial conditions from the Fed to the Treasury. Pair it with Warsh eventually letting short term rates drift down, and you get a "steeper curve”, the classic setup that pumps money into the system and feeds risk assets. It’ll be interesting to see what happens when Bessent and Warsh are on the same side. Perhaps a perfect storm! Hope these two short pieces help you make sense of a noisy week, Have a great Sunday! 104·Aug 30 Here's the whole speech simplified in 3 points: 1) Not cutting rates yet Inflation on the Fed's preferred gauge is still 3.7%, well above their 2% goal. He said the softer summer numbers don't convince him the trend has really improved. 2) He's anchoring on the stickier number The US has two main inflation measures. Warsh is leaning fully on the tougher one and gave almost no credit to the softer one. In another words, he's choosing the number that lets him stay patient. 3) He wants the Fed to matter less day to day He openly went after the old habit of the Fed spoon feeding markets its next move (i.e interest rate dot plots). Moving forward, investors can expect fewer promises, a quieter Fed and decisions taken meeting by meeting. What it means for investors: A quieter Fed that surprises more = sharper bursts of volatility around big data days. Higher for longer on rates is still the base case. A small hike before year end isn't off the table but he made no promises either way. TLDR I read it as him buying time. He clearly gets the AI productivity story (like a CEO who already knows the answer but waits for the consultant's report to make it official), but is waiting for the right time to shift monetary policies. 102·Aug 30 Hello everyone! Over the weekend the new US Fed chairman, Kevin Warsh gave his first big speech at Jackson Hole (the yearly gathering where central bankers set the tone for markets) Context: Warsh took over from Jerome Powell in May. He's Trump's pick, and everyone's been waiting to see what kind of chairman he'll be. 99·Aug 30 ⚠️🇺🇸 The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has surpassed 5.31%, reaching its highest level in 19 years. Quite a concerning topic, will discuss more about this 💪🏻 186·Aug 18

✈️ Nvidia is bringing Wall Street deeper into AI infrastructure financing 💰 Nvidia announced that a coalition of major financial institutions, including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Apollo, Blackstone, Brookfield, and KKR, will independently deploy more than $500 billion to help fund AI infrastructure. The issue investors were watching: “circular financing”. If Nvidia lends money to customers like OpenAI so they can buy Nvidia chips, and those customers fail, Nvidia could be left with the losses while already having booked the revenue. In less than three weeks, the cost of protecting Nvidia’s debt against default had nearly doubled via credit default swaps (CDS) Tuesday’s announcement helped calm credit markets because Nvidia’s own exposure will be limited to guaranteeing up to 25% of some projects through a “residual value mechanism”, with the rest of the risk absorbed by outside investors. The concern has not disappeared. It has been redistributed. If projects fail, losses could flow to bondholders, life insurers, and pension holders instead of Nvidia shareholders.... 262·Aug 13

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