REASON FOR THE WINNING SELL SCENARIO #9 | 4405 – 4407 | +420 PIPS
1. Strong bearish trend after Non-Farm
The market had already experienced a strong downside expansion after the Non-Farm news, creating a clear bearish direction. Instead of chasing the move, I waited for the market to form a more favorable setup.
2. Price Action on M5 revealed selling pressure
On the M5 timeframe, price started printing candles with long wicks, showing repeated rejection around the higher prices. This was an early indication that buyers were struggling to push the market higher.
3. Clear reaction around 4406
Price showed a noticeable reaction around 4406, then briefly pushed toward 4410 before being strongly rejected. This behavior suggested that the recovery was losing strength and sellers were preparing to take control again.
4. Selling before the technical recovery
Combining the bearish direction created by Non-Farm, M5 Price Action, and the rejection around 4406–4410 allowed the SELL scenario to be prepared before the market entered its technical recovery phase.
Result:
SELL 4405 – 4407 → +420 PIPS
A clean and disciplined scenario built from Price Action, candle rejection, market direction, and post-news structure, capturing the final bearish continuation before gold began its technical recovery.
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