Data science/ML/AI: post #1311 — TG.ME

Cross Entropy Isn't Measuring Accuracy

Here's something that surprises a lot of people. These two predictions are both correct.

Prediction A
Cat: 51%
Dog: 49%

Prediction B
Cat: 99.9%
Dog: 0.1%

Accuracy treats them exactly the same. Cross Entropy doesn't. It rewards confidence only when the model is correct.

If the true class is "Cat":
Prediction A gets a relatively high loss. Prediction B gets a very small loss.

Now flip the prediction.
Cat: 0.1%
Dog: 99.9%

The loss explodes. That's because Cross Entropy isn't asking:
Did you get it right?

It's asking:
How confident were you in the correct answer?

That's why neural networks optimize Cross Entropy instead of accuracy.
Accuracy is too coarse to guide learning.
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August 19, 2026 807 1