https://agiscorecard.com/when-will-agi-arrive
https://leap.forecastingresearch.org/reports/wave9
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3034-1.htmlدر همین رابطه این سه تا لینک رو توصیه می کنم برای علاقه مندان : (نه چندان مهم ولی جالب)
https://agiscorecard.com/when-will-agi-arrive
https://leap.forecastingresearch.org/reports/wave9
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3034-1.html
https://agiscorecard.com/when-will-agi-arrive https://leap.forecastingresearch.org/reports/wave9 https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3034-1.html
The AGI Scorecard
When will AGI arrive?
Public AGI forecasts now cluster between 2026 and 2047: Musk 2026, Aschenbrenner 2027, Hassabis ~2030, Metaculus 2033, academic surveys 2047. Expert medians have compressed from ~2060 to ~2033.
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