And this is where the phrase “getting paid while you wait” comes from. If USDJPY remains broadly unchanged, the trader may still accumulate positive swaps over time. And if the pair also rises, both the price movement and carry can potentially work in the trader’s favor.
But positive carry is never free money. The pair had been rising from early May 2026 to late July, gaining 5.7% in almost three months. But late July, USDJPY moved from 163.800 to 155.200 in two trading days. A currency move of that size sweeps away weeks or even months of accumulated positive returns.
Trade smarter, not harder
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