- Exit polling from ARD and ZDF indicates a major victory for the right-wing AfD in Saxony-Anhalt, with ZDF projecting the party at approximately 44% of the vote.
The SPD is projected at around 8%, while Die Linke stands at approximately 9%. The Greens and BSW are hovering around the critical 5% threshold required to enter the state parliament, while the FDP is projected below the threshold. The result represents a major increase for the AfD, which received 20.8% in the 2021 election. Pre-election polling had already placed the party at roughly 41–42%, substantially ahead of the CDU. Whether the AfD can secure an absolute parliamentary majority will depend heavily on the final results and, crucially, how many smaller parties clear the 5% threshold. A large share of votes going to parties that fail to enter parliament would lower the effective vote share required for a majority of seats.@GeoPWatch
