VIX Now Sits Low as Retail Turns Sharply Bearish
Are we in a bubble? Most likely. Will it pop? I have no idea. But one chart to be mindful of is the VIX.
Is it low? Yes. It is at 14.43, sitting near the lows and well below the 200-day. A low VIX means markets grind higher, and that is exactly what they have done. But we all know what can happen if the VIX decides to wake up. Look at the March spike to 35 on this same chart.
Retail is not calm at all. The latest AAII survey has bearish sentiment at 44.4%, unusually high and above its average for 29 straight weeks. The bull-bear spread fell to negative 11.5%.
So you have very fearful investors, a very calm VIX, and indexes near record highs. Those three things do not usually sit together for long.
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— Alan

22August 28, 2026 2.8K 4